Affordable Housing Project
This is an internal Better For Our Children project to explore the possibility of developing a large scale Public/ Private initiative to produce, assemble and sell large numbers of affordable apartments, townhouses and individual houses.
The following is a more detailed presentation of our Affordable Housing Project.
Overview | Summary |
Details | Steps for Communities |
Steps for Manufacturers | Reduce Costs |
Make Connections | HGTV Hosts |
Overview
This whitepaper describes ideas for public driven initiatives to spur the creation of new housing. The US urgently needs housing that is affordable, clean and safe for those who are not in the top income brackets. It appears the housing that builders can make money building are no longer affordable for most Americans, which has resulted in far too few houses being created. The mechanisms being proposed here are primarily public / private cooperation to develop and build affordable housing using local community driven policies and legislation in combination with encouraging further innovation with standardized prefabrication technology. If a community is unable to inspire a public / private partnership, then it may be left to that community to build and own the new housing. The goals are to:
- Promote an alternative paradigm for building housing in the US, which would be driven by local communities as a blend of public/ private and public initiatives.
- Find ways to substantially reduce the cost of creating new housing. Engage stakeholders to research typical costs for housing and finding ways the total cost of making and building a house or apartment can be reduced. It is likely this can be accomplished by promoting and supporting the development of and expanded use of large-scale factory based modular housing manufacturing.
- Look for possible sources of funding to support affordable housing.
- Reach out to home renovation hosts and influencers to:
- Publicize this program and perhaps develop and contribute some public domain designs for prefabricated homes.
- Developing standard housing designs
- Encouraging their local communities and promoting this new approach
- Encourage manufacturer engagement.
- Create public domain designs for high quality prefabricated housing units to be made freely available to participating manufacturers and around which promotional activities can create interest in those seeking affordable housing.
- Reach out to communities across the country to encourage the use of local policies in combination with prefabricated components to increase the local inventory of affordable housing.
- Contact existing companies offering prefabricated housing about enlisting them in this initiative.
- Connect those interested communities with participating companies to start a dialog between them in the interest of launching specific community driven public / private partnerships.
This whitepaper has been developed by the Better For Our Children (BFOC) organization, which is a New York State based policy institute working to provide solutions for the many major challenges facing our planet in the 21st Century.
Summary
This section presents a summary of the key concepts and talking points for the large-scale affordable housing initiative (AHI). Please refer to the Details section for a fuller description of the AHI.
The AHI has been motivated by the evolving housing crisis that exists across most, if not all, of the US. All types of housing are becoming so expensive and so limited in quantity, as to disrupt economic growth and disrupt the lives of countless Americans. Common factors driving this crisis are; the high cost of custom-built houses, the inadequate number of housing units being created for either lease (rent) or purchase, and the ever-increasing percentage of the average American’s income that must be spent on housing. That, in turn, takes away the funds available to the average American for basic necessities, education, and savings. The goal of the AHI is to reestablish the governmental sector as the primary engine for creating new and lower cost housing; primarily through public/ private initiatives, but where necessary via housing created by local government investment. The following sections of this document propose a series of complimentary policies and manufacturing innovations to dramatically increase the inventory of affordable rental and owned housing units.
The steps covered by this white paper include some for local communities to allow them to build prefabricated houses, some for the support of local builders, and others for the manufacturers of prefabricated houses to reduce manufacturing costs, assembly times and costs, and to support sustainable climate features. An optional step is to attempt an outreach to home renovation hosts and influencers to build support for this initiative with the public and the hosts’ local communities. Once these steps have been taken further steps are recommended to raise public awareness and interest in the AHI, which may in turn help encourage local communities to engage and support affordable prefabricated housing.
It is necessary to highlight the retreat of traditional private housing development to the high-end, or luxury, housing segment. This has been most obvious since the financial crisis of 2007/ 2008, following which there has been dramatically decline in housing created for the non-luxury segments needed for those in the US not in the top 5% of annual income. This startling fact, and the observation that this trend has been developing for decades, may mean that the best approach going forward is to have government at all levels take a hand in spurring innovation and funding of urgently needed affordable housing. Ideally, once a new model is established the model will be adopted by private developers as well.
The following sections go into more detail with regard to the specific steps being suggested for implementing the AHI.
Steps In Detail
This section provides more detail on the steps being suggested for implementing the AHI.
Preparation
This section includes steps for preparing to meet with the communities and prefab manufacturers.
- Identify or create an organization which can organized, champion and if necessary, manage the execution of the following steps. This may need to include finding funding. The fastest way forward would be to identify an existing organization, if one can be found.
- Analyze typical current building costs to guide further analysis for reducing costs. This will ensure the complete housing package delivered for occupancy remains withing the affordable cost range.
- There will have to be different classifications for regions and types of housing.
- Catalog current cost metrics for different types of houses (medium spec, low spec, current prefab options, also for different sizes as well as types: single family, duplex, townhouses, small apartment complexes)
- Costs will also vary across different regions around the country.
- Costs will vary within and across regions by type of housing.
- Categories to track include:
- Land
- Foundation and site preparation
- Primary materials for the basic structure (wood, pipes, drywall, electrical, . . .)
- Labor
- Other Materials
- Shipping prefab modules from the factory to building site
- Develop target cost metrics (cost/square foot)
- Develop target cost metrics for affordable housing. The objective for setting a target cost for affordable housing is to ensure that the total costs, including land, labor, and other materials, yield housing is more plentiful and lower cost. It may also help guide the manufacturers to modify their designs and construction techniques to help bring the costs for the basic structure even lower. This type of metric will also help weed out manufacturers who are not able to produce affordable houses.
- Target costs will also have to be set for different regions and different types of housing.
- Identify possible approaches for reducing costs:
- How much building can practically be done at “the factory”:
- drywall
- Electric wiring
- Plumbing
- Appliances
- Roofing
- Exterior shell
- Foundation
- Painting (interior and exterior)
- Can bulk purchase and integrated production of sub-components reduce costs.
- Can standard utility interfaces help reduce on site costs
- Standard hook ups to local utilities and services
- Standard interfaces between prefab modules
- If housing modules come fully pre built, how to interconnect the modules; particularly for plumbing and electrical.
- Reduce on site assembly time
- Compare “module” alternatives
- Can shipping costs be reduced and delivery time sped up by making “module” that are more compact.
- Meaning assemble floors, walls, ceilings, frames and rooves at the factory, and then assemble these at the housing site.
- Requires a way to quickly and safely attach all these smaller components together.
- Advantage is that these types of “modules” would stack up flat on truck or train beds vs. bulkier finished sections of buildings (e.g. with rooms already created).
- Another advantage is that this approach may allow larger and more varied shapes for completed rooms.
- Or do more complete “modules” consisting of finished rooms, which are then stacked and joined together at the building site, provide a lower total cost of assembly.
- This allows more assembly to be done at the factory, but may make transportation more difficult due to the bulk of complete rooms being transported.
- This approach may also constrain the size and shape of rooms in the finished structure due to limitations on how large a “module” can safely be transported on roadways.
- Ways to join modules quickly and safely
- Standard ways to joint modules together that will be quick, safe and long lasting
- Ways to make robust designs able to meet special requirements different areas, such as:
- Earthquake strengthening
- Tornado strengthening
- Flood resistant
- Ways to reduce material and assembly costs by building and preparing them in systematic and high-volume manufacturing processes.
- Designs for modular and prefabricated housing that are functional, desirable and affordable.
- Identify existing and potential sources of funding to support affordable housing, especially at the community level. But this could also include subsidies or tax breaks for manufacturers and home owners.
Steps for Local Communities
One of the most important parties needed for the AHI to get off the ground are local communities. These are the places at which the pain and dislocation of insufficient housing is felt the most. While it is fine to promote support, and funding, for affordable housing at the Federal and State levels, it is at the local level where everything needs to come together. To successfully add meaningful amounts of affordable housing, communities need to; allow these types of structures, need to secure the support and participation of local builders and workers, need to make sure they are protected, need the support of local business leaders and communities, need to connect funding to builders and owners, and most importantly need to locate and make available land for affordable housing. Another important objective for reaching out to local communities is to identify and grow the potential market for the prefab manufacturers, which will be useful when they are contacted.
Work with community leaders to explore ways to repurpose existing residential properties to become higher density affordable housing. Possible methods might include reduced property taxes in exchange for agreeing to see the property to the community for affordable housing, or promoting civic minded property owners to voluntarily sell their properties.
It might be useful to search for communities which have been able to create meaningful numbers of affordable housing units, and if any are found then look for common factors behind their success. A second tier of research might be to survey other groups seeking to promote affordable housing and again look for common ideas and approaches. Any positive findings can be folded into the recommendations in this white paper.
Working with Communities
Initial proposals to local communities might go to town or community governments, including both elected leaders as well as any departments or groups tasked with either affordable housing per se, or housing and property development in general. The proposals would include something like this white paper to present the overall concept of the AHI, as well as an addendum that might be tailored to that specific community in terms of what may already be in place, or may be blocking support of affordable housing. If there is an organization in place to promote the AHI, it might try to arrange meetings with local leaders, local community groups and local businesses.
To identify those communities an initial outreach it might be helpful to identify communities which either are already have, or are actively introducing, policies and legislation to support the building of prefabricated affordable housing, or who have openly discussed both the consideration and need for affordable housing.
The following is a checklist of items that could help the local community promote and successfully create meaningful amounts of affordable housing.
Identify Communities
The recommended approach would be to:
- Start searching for and cold-calling communities that have already moved towards, or are already planning to implement, the types of policies that could support the AHI.
- Inquire with HGTV whether some of their teams could contact communities in the home cities or towns to see if they are willing to consider being pilot communities for AHI.
- Review states that have affordable housing policies or legislation in place, and then reach out to communities in those states
Contact Communities
With a list of communities in hand the next step for the AHI would be to reach out to communities across the country to share the approach outlined in this white paper and seek to establish a relationship to learn in more detail about the status of their efforts to develop new affordable housing capacity. After understanding their status try to offer support for the implementation of existing policies or to begin a process to propose new policies for affordable housing.
Items to Propose to Communities
This section includes specific policies and approaches that communities might consider for creating affordable housing initiatives.
- Prepare an outline of the general approach they might use to create more affordable housing.
- Review current and target AHI housing costs to compare with the community’s view of these costs, as well as local housing needs and affordable housing cost ranges
- How to get projects funded
- Prepare a list of local builders who might be willing to participate
- Include a list of prefab manufacturers willing to provide affordable houses
- How to start the actual building projects and select residents for the completed projects.
- Ask the community contacts about possible restrictions or limitations for using prefab construction
- Many communities specifically prohibit this type of construction, presumably to protect local builders
- Offer the idea of licensing local builders who would be allowed to build prefabricated housing for their communities using local labor and local suppliers where possible.
- If this type of construction is not currently allowed, is the community willing to change their laws? Remember to propose the possibility of using local builders, if they are willing to assemble prefab houses.
- Is there interest in forming a public/ private partnership to build affordable local housing
- Is there a local governmental or community group in which local governmental leaders and local businesses discuss housing. If not are there any local leaders who are willing to start such a group.
- Consider having communities use government funding to seed new housing projects.
- The community buys an unused or underused parcel of land with government funds.
- If possible, the community will offer the land to a local developer as follows:
- The developer agrees in writing to maintain the housing within the “affordable” price ranges for that community.
- Potentially, the community might sell the land below market value, so that the developer’s overall return is worthwhile (a lower upfront cost, with a lower lifetime cash flow can equal a reasonable net return).
- Willingness to define local policies to find land for new prefab housing, which might include:
- Making unused local government property available for new housing
- Possibly having the community maintain ownership of the land, so that the local government benefits from rents and increased values of the homes built
- Making any foreclosed properties available
- Attempting to buy out current property holders to reuse their land for higher density housing
- Contact existing owners of undeveloped land to discuss ways to utilize the land for affordable housing.
- Possible use of “eminent domain” to make underutilized land available.
- This needs to be done judiciously and with checks/ balances to ensure this power is not abused.
- Interest in having local policies and legislation to protect local builders and local construction workers, if they can support the assembly of prefab housing. Look into ways to confirm the viability of trading a possibly higher volume of projects to offset the lower revenue per project.
- Discuss policies for managing the potential stock of affordable housing arising from the AHI. For example:
- Who owns the land and the buildings
- What happens to the revenue generated
- How might the affordable housing stock be preserved so it can continue to support those needing affordable housing (maintaining and enforcing eligibility criteria and whether units can be rental only or also allow ownership).
- In parallel to the initial community out-reach, try to expand the scope of the program by Inspiring communities to
- update local zoning and building regulations to permit the use of prefabricated building units,
- See if there is an interest in bundling green energy requirements into the building regulations for affordable housing. Given the assumption that new affordable housing stock will be built, along with the need to manage the environment it might make sense to require and/or encourage the use of green energy technologies (such as solar panels and energy storage, solar heating, geothermal heating/cooling, heat pumps, etc.).
Identify Sources of Funding
Following the initial contacts with communities try to get a handle on the funding needs and existing options identified by the communities. In parallel with this activity search for and research additional public and private funding options. Given how pressing the lack of affordable housing across the US there may be organizations and groups who have, or will be setting up, ways to financially support communities who are ready to address this issue. Catalog the sources of funding and the eligibility criteria for each, so this information can be shared with the communities.
Revenue Models
This section discusses some possible models for how to manage the revenue generated by renting (and if allowed selling) the affordable housing units. Some options are:
- Having the supplier of the land continue to own the land independently of owning the housing units, with some of the revenues continuing to flow to the owner via leases
- This might be useful if the community is the owner, as the lease revenue could be used to acquire additional land and/or fund the building of more units.
- If the land owner is a private entity, then there might be a “tax” levied to support the future expansion of local affordable housing.
- This might also provide a useful means for ensuring the land continues to provide affordable housing.
- If the land is sold, so the landlord owns both the land and the housing units, then
- If the owner is the community, then revenues will need to be used to maintain the property, and anything left over can be used to expand the affordable housing stock, or added to community tax revenues.
- If it is a private owner then the revenues would be used to maintain the properties, provide a profit to the owner (some of which might be used for new affordable housing), and optionally there might be a community “tax” on any profits which could be used to fund the expansion of local affordable housing.
Steps for Prefab Manufacturers
This section covers the steps being proposed for engaging with the companies who make prefabricated homes, and investors (governmental and private). The key steps include: assessing their overall interest in participating in a program such as AHI, current product offerings for manufacturers, incentives to make and/or attract stable long-term investment, ways to reduce the total costs of materials and manufacturing, interest in using public domain/ standard house designs and plans for promoting AHI and their engagement.
Overall Interest
Put the key question to a prefab manufacturer right away – would they be interested in participating in a program like AHI. If the answer is possibly or no, then review the AHI program and answer questions to try to persuade them. Otherwise move ahead to discuss steps which they might want to participate in, and define next steps. If the community outreach is far enough along, include a list of participating and potential communities to show the amount of interest in the AHI.
Approach and identify potential investors or entrepreneurs who are interested in establishing new ventures for creating modular and prefabricated housing.
Review Current Offerings and In Other Countries
Look over the manufacturer’s current housing products to compare their costs against both the average current costs and target costs. Also review the total budget for the end product to allow the manufacturer to get the whole picture required to end up with housing that is affordable.
Look at modular housing companies in Japan and Sweden, and other countries for guidance and best practices.
Research Ways to Reduce Housing Costs
Discuss with the manufacturer their willingness to adopt, and/or do their own research into, techniques for reducing the cost of housing products within the scope of AHI.
- Initial possibilities for reducing housing costs
- Look at ways to build more of each house at “the factory”
- drywall
- Electric wiring
- Plumbing
- Appliances
- Roofing
- Exterior shell
- Painting (interior and exterior)
- Consider the manufacturer either adopt any standard utility interfaces developed or participate in developing those standards
- Hook ups to local utilities and services
- Interfaces between prefab modules
- If housing modules come fully pre built, how to interconnect the modules; particularly for plumbing and electrical.
- Ways to reduce material costs by buying in bulk, supporting the creation of large-scale suppliers of key components and standardizing the component designs. Also, look at where to locate these suppliers by considering the sources of raw materials, and proximity to the housing manufacturers.
- Ways to join modules quickly and safely
- Standard ways to joint modules together that will be quick, safe and long lasting
- Ways to make robust designs able to meet special requirements different areas, such as:
- Earthquake strengthening
- Tornado strengthening
- Flood resistant
Interest in Common AHI Designs
Review the concept of using common designs for the AHI that will be made available free of charge to participating manufacturers, and the efforts that will be made to promote these standard designs via influencers and any AHI promotions that may be undertaken. Also, the use of common designs will allow higher volumes for sub-component suppliers.
Research Ways to Support Sustainable Tech
Discuss any products or ideas the manufacturer has for supporting solar, wind, and geothermal energy sources with an eye towards adding these to the AHI catalogues, programs and promotions.
Connect Communities to Companies
Once there are communities and prefab manufacturers willing to participate in the AHI the next step is to get them working together, so the community builders can get presentations from the suppliers and request bids for their initial projects. This may be as straightforward as providing lists the appropriate groups, or perhaps holding some introductory conference calls to get the interactions started. After this process begins there needs to be follow-up to track progress, identify issues and provide assistance when it would be helpful.
Steps for Renovation Hosts and Influencers
This section describes and idea to try to interest some well-known home renovation TV show hosts and influencers in supporting the AHI. Their participation could include developing public domain housing designs for affordable, and comfortable, houses, promoting the AHI program and helping to engage their local communities in AHI.
Public Domain Housing Designs
One aspect of the AHI is to create numerous desirable designs which would be made available to the mass prefabricated housing manufacturing companies, royalty free. The benefits of this approach are:
- Removing startup barriers for companies interested in producing prefabricated housing
- Keep costs down by eliminating design costs
- Allow rapid production and building by using familiar and consistent designs
- End up with desirable houses that are comfortable to live in
Promoting the AHI
See if the Home and Garden TV network (HGTV) can be persuaded to create a TV series using their experienced housing renovation experts to create and test out designs during the course of the series.
- Have different configuration requirements for each show
- Configuration options would include:
- Different numbers of bedrooms,
- Different sizes (total square feet)
- Different housing densities such as: townhouses, duplex houses, multi-family apartments
- Multi-family apartment designs need to be flexible so it is easy to scale the implementation to various total apartments in any particular implementation.
- Ask renovation experts to select and meet with prefab vendors to learn key factors for successful and affordable prefab house design.
- Have round table discussion among all experts to share lessons learned
- Have this as part of the series
- Optionally encourage the use of green technologies such as: solar panels and energy storage, solar heating, heat pumps, etc.
- Have a panel of judges make an award for the best design
- But put all the designs from each show into the public domain, so there would be several design options for each configuration type
- The winning designs would then be put into the public domain for use by communities and prefabrication manufacturers.
Helping Engage Their Communities
Reach out to specific HGTV hosts about potentially leveraging contact within their home communities to see if they already support affordable housing or can be persuaded to participate in the AHI.